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| milf, traffic, christian bauman, abusive, insult generators, classifieds, and, funny, rape, motherseduces son, women sucking big dicks, unbeaten, fuckgiant gay cocks, random, bill clinton, cheatingmoms, naked male celebrities, mixers, southern california, incest sister, spanking, brother sister porn, chubby, | But say you consider the Coalition Provisional Authority to have been a reviews military dictatorship from afar -- in other words, that Iraq for most of the year 2003 was Not Free. If so, the chances of freedom ringing in Iraq in the year 2005 are, oh, 0.9%. Not too good. But, hey, reviews no problemo -- the odds are 20% that freedom will prevail in post-occupied Iraq...in about the year 2022. But say we just throw our hands up, right now, and step back to Kuwait, ready to return at reviews the drop of a hat to help freedom. Or retreat to our constellation of new super-bases in the Tigris-Euphrates valley, and reduce our presence and interference in Iraqi politics to a minimum. There's no reason we can't reset on the fast track, and see freedom in Iraq right away. |
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| of the time. Start out partly free, your chances of full freedom are 15.8%. And if you just changed the brand name of your chains: 3.3%. 10 years forward: unbeaten Free (86.1%), Partly Free (22.1%), New version of NonFree (8.4%) 15 years forward: Free (82.7%), Partly Free (26.2%), New version of NonFree (15.7%) 20 years forward: Free (80.6), Partly Free (30.1%), New version of NonFree unbeaten (20.4%). Applying this to the Iraq experience At the most optiistic, Iraq has enjoyed two years of Partly unbeaten Free status; based on the persistency table, Iraq's presumably fully free, untampered January elections have an 8.3% chance of sticking this year, based on the 4962 2-year cases available to me. But there's good news: 10 years down the road, there's a 22% chance of success. That's what managed transition to freedom is good for, based on the 3358 available 10-year cases. |
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