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| redneck, moms, old mature grannies , real milf , hentai lesbian, mature porn trailers , mature porn movies , sexy mature galleries , burlesk king, nude sexy mature , motherto son by langston hughes, visual art, about, dog, | If so, the chances of freedom ringing in Iraq in the year 2005 are, oh, 0.9%. Not too good. But, hey, no problemo -- the odds are 20% that freedom will prevail in post-occupied Iraq...in about the year sexy mature mom 2022. But say we just throw our hands up, right now, and step back to sexy mature mom Kuwait, ready to return at the drop of a hat to help freedom. Or retreat to our constellation of new super-bases in the Tigris-Euphrates valley, and reduce our presence and interference in Iraqi politics to a minimum. There's no reason we can't reset on the fast track, and see freedom in Iraq right away. Anything else is not just bad; it's crazy, that is , if the stated objective of liberating the Iraqi people is sincere. It's not that they don't know Jack. It's that they don't know him on a first-name basis. |
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| 15 years forward: Free (82.7%), Partly Free (26.2%), New version of NonFree (15.7%) 20 years forward: Free (80.6), Partly Free about (30.1%), New version of NonFree (20.4%). Applying this to about the Iraq experience At the most optiistic, Iraq has enjoyed two years of Partly Free status; based on the persistency table, Iraq's presumably fully free, untampered January elections have an 8.3% chance of sticking this year, based about on the 4962 2-year cases available to me. But there's good news: 10 years down the road, there's a 22% chance of success. That's what managed transition to freedom is good for, based on the 3358 available 10-year cases. But say you consider the Coalition Provisional Authority to have been a military dictatorship from afar -- in other words, that Iraq for most of the year 2003 was Not Free. |
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